Alright, so I’ve been messing around with player props lately, and I gotta say, the Chris Sale strikeout prop caught my eye. I’m no expert, but I like to dabble and see if I can find some value. So, here’s how I went about tackling this one.
First, I looked at Sale’s recent game logs. I wanted to get a feel for his current form, you know? How many strikeouts is he averaging per game? Is he trending up or down? That kind of stuff. Just eyeballing it gives you a decent starting point.
Digging Deeper
Then, I checked out the opposing team’s strikeout rate. Are they a free-swinging bunch, or do they make a lot of contact? This is crucial. Facing a team that whiffs a lot is obviously going to boost Sale’s chances of racking up the Ks.
- Checked team K% against left-handed pitchers.
- Looked for any recent news or injuries that might affect the lineup.
I also considered the ballpark. Some parks are more pitcher-friendly than others. A spacious outfield can help Sale get those extra swings and misses.
Lastly, I compared the prop line (the over/under number set by the sportsbooks) to my own projection. Based on my research, did I think Sale was likely to go over or under that number? This is where you make your decision.
It is not easy to do it, but my own projection is very important.
After all that,I finally get the result that I want.
