Alright, let’s dive into this Jaylen Warren or Adam Thielen conundrum. Been wrestling with this all week for my fantasy league, and figured I’d share my thought process.
First things first: I looked at the schedules. Warren’s up against a tough run defense this week, while Thielen’s got a slightly easier matchup in the secondary. Immediately leaned towards Thielen, figured the volume would be there.
Then I started digging into the stats. I spent a good hour just bouncing between ESPN and a couple of other sites. Looking at targets for Thielen, snap counts for Warren, trying to get a feel for their usage. Noticed Warren’s snap counts were increasing week by week, almost like they were trying to give him more and more work.
Next, I watched some film. Yeah, I know, sounds intense, right? But honestly, just highlights. Wanted to see how they looked. Warren runs hard, no doubt. But Thielen, even though he’s getting older, is still a crafty route runner. I saw a couple of plays where Thielen created separation that other receivers just couldn’t.
I also checked injury reports. This is super important, obviously. Thielen’s been on the report a few times this year, but nothing major this week. Warren was clean too. No major red flags for either, which made it even tougher to choose.
Here’s where I got a little unconventional: I started looking at the weather forecast for both games. Sounds dumb, I know, but if there’s a chance of rain, it could favor Warren and the Steelers ground game. Turns out, both games look clear. Scratch that theory.
Finally, I simulated a bunch of scenarios in my head. What if the Steelers fall behind early? Warren’s value tanks. What if Thielen gets double-covered all game? Could be a bust. I played out every possible scenario I could imagine.
And my decision? I ended up going with Adam Thielen. The volume seems more consistent, and the matchup is slightly better. Plus, I just have a gut feeling about it. Fantasy football is all about the gut sometimes, right?
- Checked Schedules
- Dug into the Stats
- Watched Film Highlights
- Analyzed Injury Reports
- Checked Weather Forecast
- Simulated Game Scenarios
End of the story. Let’s see if it pans out! Feel free to roast my decision in the comments, or share your own thoughts. Good luck with your lineups this week!
