Alright, let’s talk about how I actually came up with my prediction for Texas Tech’s bowl game this year. It wasn’t super scientific, more like putting pieces together based on what I saw and heard.

Gathering the Basic Info
First off, I looked straight at their final record. You gotta start there, right? How many wins, how many losses? That tells you the baseline of what kind of bowl they might even be eligible for. Then I checked where they ended up in the Big 12 standings. Were they near the top, middle of the pack, or just barely scraping by to get bowl eligible?
Next, I thought about who they actually played. Beating up on weak non-conference teams doesn’t mean as much as tough conference wins. I looked back at their key games. Did they pull off any upsets? Did they get crushed by the top dogs? How competitive were they in their losses? That stuff matters to the bowl committees, they want teams that put up a fight.
I also considered how they finished the season. Were they playing good ball in November, or did they kinda limp across the finish line? A team with momentum often looks more attractive for a bowl slot.
Figuring Out the Bowl Landscape
Okay, so with Tech’s profile in mind, I then pulled up the list of Big 12 bowl tie-ins. Every conference has agreements with certain bowls. You need to know which bowls are even possibilities. There’s a sort of hierarchy, too.
- The top Big 12 teams usually go to the bigger New Year’s Six bowls if they qualify.
- Then there’s a pecking order for the next tier of bowls affiliated with the conference.
This is where it gets fuzzy. I had to figure out where Tech likely slotted in compared to other Big 12 teams. You look at teams with similar records, head-to-head results sometimes matter, and frankly, which teams travel well and bring eyeballs to the TV screen. It’s not always purely about the record.
Once I had a couple of likely bowl destinations in mind based on that pecking order, I started looking at the potential opponents. Which conference does Bowl X partner with? Who are the bowl-eligible teams from that conference that might end up in that same bowl? I tried to see if there were any obvious or interesting matchups.
Making the Actual Prediction
Then you gotta factor in the whispers. What are the sports writers saying? Any chatter from sources close to the programs or the bowls? Sometimes you hear rumors about a certain bowl really wanting a specific team or matchup. It’s not always reliable, but you keep your ears open.
Finally, I just put all that stuff together. Tech’s record, their strength of schedule, how they finished, the Big 12 bowl tie-ins, where they likely fit in the conference pecking order, potential opponents, and any rumors floating around. I weighed it all in my head and just made a call based on what seemed most logical or likely.

It’s never a sure thing. Lots of moving parts, committees making decisions behind closed doors. But that was my process – looking at the facts on the ground, understanding the bowl system, and adding a little bit of educated guessing. We’ll see how it plays out!